I recently read an ELFA presentation (Equipment Leasing and Finance Association) titled, “As the drum turns….The World of used Copiers.” Can you picture 300 – 400 leasing company representatives in a large room listening to this stimulating presentation? The world of used copiers—where was I for this one!
IDC’s research was referenced throughout the presentation—and along with InfoTrends and Gartner—I consider IDC a reputable research firm. Clearly the point of the presentation was to highlight changes in the used copier space. That aspect of the presentation was eye opening for me simply from the perspective that used color MFDs from the same vintage as mono MFDs actually sell for less on the used market.
The presentation had numerous examples but I’ll simply take one that is representative: A Canon iR5570 with a list price of $17,100 had a “remarketer sale price” of $1,350, or 8% of the original equipment price (OEP) and a Canon iRC5870U, with a list price of $19,100 had a remarketer sale price of $300, 2% of OEP. With the lower lease approval rate driving increased rental of lease end devices I assume the remarketer sale price will continue to decrease, forcing leasing rates higher since residual value is part of the equation to determine lease rate.
Increasing lease rates won’t be any fun for those companies that still rely 100% on the “bigger better faster same price” model of moving your year on year aftermarket price increases over to the funding side of the lease to sell a new box and take care of the buyout, reducing your aftermarket revenue and generating a commission for a rep. But for those companies that still work on this zero sum game the good news is that according to IDC, as reported by the ELFA in this presentation, average unit sales prices (AUSP) have dropped precipitously. That drop will allow you to continue to fund the buyout of the swap and maintain the “bigger better faster new price” suicide march [not the point of this post but think about it….you are selling a MFD at a lower price than you did four years earlier, reducing the aftermarket rate to below what the current placement started at four years earlier (and far below the current rate with three years of compounded increases) and probably paying your sales rep the same amount as you did four years ago to place the other unit since it probably has about the same amount of “GP” in the deal….how’s that work financially?).
Just how big is that AUSP decrease? Let’s first talk about mono-connected boxes and use the seven year look that ELFA used in their analysis; this is an absolute seven year decrease and not a compounded annual decrease—in other words, it is the decrease from seven years back until 2009. Segment 2 (43%), segment 3 (30%), segment 4 (24%), segment 5 (27%) and segment 6 (12%). Even scarier was color, using the same methodology, segment 1 (49%), segment 2 (54%), segment 3 (55%), segment 4 (25%) and segment 5 (61%).
Strategy Development has spoken about using environmental information in your planning and in previous posts on this blog we have already highlighted some of the year on year unit placement decreases. Now you have information on unit placement decreases, there is indication that lease rates will rise (interest rates can’t stay at zero forever and used equipment pricing isn’t holding), and AUSP is decreasing. Juxtapose those issues against more and more non-contract devices moving to contracts (MPS) and your ability to reduce your general and administrative expense and increase your service margins and you have some great environmental issues on which to build a solid business plan.
We will be running our BTA Business Planning Workshop in October in the Miami area—hope to see you there so that you can seize the future!
Showing posts with label Strategic Development. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Strategic Development. Show all posts
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Thursday, March 18, 2010
ITEX 2010—What a Great Event
Wow, ITEX was phenomenal this year. For those of you that attended, and there were many, I know you agree because I have heard the feedback. What makes ITEX such a great show? To me the number one attribute of ITEX is the networking opportunity; most of the industry decision makers attend the show. When I say decision makers I mean dealer/reseller principals and senior management. Company owners and senior management have a unique perspective on the industry and having the opportunity to speak with thousands of this group provides untold benefits to all, including companies like mine in the consulting field.
The second benefit of ITEX is the education. Unlike many shows, where the sponsors get all of the speaking spots (Nothing against listening to a software or hardware vendor giving their perspective on the industry but after all, won’t the vendors pay you to listen to them), ITEX vets the presenters and chooses those that bring benefit to the dealer/reseller community. For less than $100, the entry fee, attendees get to choose from dozens of educational tracks on all aspects of the business. SD has presented for years and this was the first year we had a booth at the show, and we were asked to speak months before we were asked to consider exhibiting.
If I had to critique the show I will say that I was disappointed with the “Hybrid” moniker. Every time I hear hybrid I think of a car or fuel option. It seems to be the most over used word in the English language these days. I can’t pick up a newspaper or magazine without reading about some company, industry, or option presenting themselves as hybrids. I think it supplanted “solution” as the most ubiquitous word in the business press. ITEX is more than the hybrid dealer, covering education on all aspects of running a successful company. That was reflected in the educational options offered at ITEX.
Strategy Development consultants presented in many areas of the business and each of our classes had approximately 200 participants. David Ramos presented on self managed teams and opportunities in the color space. Ed Carroll presented on professional service. Mike Woodard presented on creating the ideal service and IT team as well as managing the base to control service cost. And I (Tom Callinan) presented on repositioning your business model, which was essentially business planning.
So if you look at the educational offerings presented by Strategy Development we covered sales management, color opportunities, professional services, service operations, and business planning. And, there were dozens of other well (albeit the SD seminars were sold out…) received educational offerings.
If you missed ITEX you missed a great event, and we missed you! We’ll be at the BTA Northeast and Southeast events as well as InfoTrends Solution Summit 2010 in Chicago. Like ITEX, all of these events provide a great ROI. The BTA events have solid education and networking opportunity, on a regional level, and InfoTrends provides enough research to make the trip well worth the effort. If you cannot make these great events we hope to see you next year at ITEX 2011 in DC.
The second benefit of ITEX is the education. Unlike many shows, where the sponsors get all of the speaking spots (Nothing against listening to a software or hardware vendor giving their perspective on the industry but after all, won’t the vendors pay you to listen to them), ITEX vets the presenters and chooses those that bring benefit to the dealer/reseller community. For less than $100, the entry fee, attendees get to choose from dozens of educational tracks on all aspects of the business. SD has presented for years and this was the first year we had a booth at the show, and we were asked to speak months before we were asked to consider exhibiting.
If I had to critique the show I will say that I was disappointed with the “Hybrid” moniker. Every time I hear hybrid I think of a car or fuel option. It seems to be the most over used word in the English language these days. I can’t pick up a newspaper or magazine without reading about some company, industry, or option presenting themselves as hybrids. I think it supplanted “solution” as the most ubiquitous word in the business press. ITEX is more than the hybrid dealer, covering education on all aspects of running a successful company. That was reflected in the educational options offered at ITEX.
Strategy Development consultants presented in many areas of the business and each of our classes had approximately 200 participants. David Ramos presented on self managed teams and opportunities in the color space. Ed Carroll presented on professional service. Mike Woodard presented on creating the ideal service and IT team as well as managing the base to control service cost. And I (Tom Callinan) presented on repositioning your business model, which was essentially business planning.
So if you look at the educational offerings presented by Strategy Development we covered sales management, color opportunities, professional services, service operations, and business planning. And, there were dozens of other well (albeit the SD seminars were sold out…) received educational offerings.
If you missed ITEX you missed a great event, and we missed you! We’ll be at the BTA Northeast and Southeast events as well as InfoTrends Solution Summit 2010 in Chicago. Like ITEX, all of these events provide a great ROI. The BTA events have solid education and networking opportunity, on a regional level, and InfoTrends provides enough research to make the trip well worth the effort. If you cannot make these great events we hope to see you next year at ITEX 2011 in DC.
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
Where’s the Silver Bullet
I talk to many business owners that are looking for the cure to their ailment—and they would prefer something that cures them quickly. What is the ailment? Lower revenue and operating income. Some want to recreate the good old days of growth and can’t understand why that would be so difficult. Heck, in the 80’s we just worked hard and revenues increased: Why can’t we do that now? Are the new Generation X, Y, or Z kids simply lazy? My experienced reps just can’t seem to get the appointments they were once able to achieve. They’re all spoiled—we need to put them back on draw against commission and make the hungry!
If only it were that easy. Let’s start with the most obvious, although constantly over looked fact that it is not the 80’s anymore. That means that copiers are not a growth technology any longer. It means that the product extensions that allowed us to continually move upstream and replace other products is almost gone (HP, Xerox, and some other players are going full bore after displacing all printing presses with sheet fed and cut sheet high speed “digital presses” as one of the last product extensions left to conquer). Our color devices have brought outsourced work back in house and replaced presses as has our segment six production devices. B2C went main stream and penetration has stalled in the 30% range. Fax machines have gone the way of the typewriter. Copier (and printer) placements are down substantially over the last two years and are projected to continue to decrease, albeit at a slower pace.
The 80’s brought us Bill Gates (and Paul Allen but he is almost forgotten) and Microsoft, Steve Jobs and Apple, and IBM’s invention of the PC. Since then Larry and Sergey founded Google, who can even remember those two guys from Yahoo and Al Gore invented the Internet! Copiers are not “high tech,” or more appropriately, “sexy” devices to sell. Your fraternity or sorority buddies might be envious of your job at Google, Facebook, or Genentech, but selling copiers won’t elicit that same feeling.
It is a great industry with solid profits and recurring revenues, and sales professionals can still make a good living, but we have to face reality and understand that people aren’t standing in line to apply for jobs in our industry. For those of you who weren’t in the business in the 80’s I can recall when a Sunday ad in the paper (Do they still exist?) resulted in a lobby packed with applicants on Monday. The only chance you had to get the job, which was straight commission (draw) was to show up Monday…..with a wagon or van close behind.
What does all this mean? It is tougher to grow in a declining market than in an increasing market and your potential employees, and customers for that matter, have a lot more information available to make a decision. So how do you thrive in this new environment? Get real about putting together a solid business plan and stop wasting your time looking for the silver bullet. Maybe you don’t have the best website on earth, maybe your reps can set more appointments, maybe you do need some basic sales training…..anything is possible. But I’d bet that your rep’s telephone and sales skills aren’t any worse than they were 20 years ago and you grew then.
The aforementioned internet provides job seekers with lots of information. Want to know what salary or commissions to expect for your education and experience? Go to salary.com or one of their competitors. Want to know what a company pays the specific job you are interested in? Go to glassdoor.com or one of the thousands of blog sites available. Sales professionals are fungible—they can take a job with you selling copiers, they can sell medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, software, or ads on Google. The common thread of those last four is that they pay salaries. Now if you are ambitious you will take the opportunity with an “unlimited” variable compensation component over one with fixed bonuses. But will you take the opportunity of unlimited compensation—with no foundation (salary) over one with a solid base? Not if you could get the latter; for those not paying a salary that is known as adverse selection. You only get a pool of candidates that cannot get the jobs that pay a salary. Wonder why your turnover is 100% and your productivity is low?
As for growth, it isn’t in the copier space. Just in case you don’t believe me take a look at unit placements in any InfoTrends, IDC, or Gartner research. Placements, in the 1,300,000 area in 2007, have dropped to 900,000 or so in 2009. What does that mean? If you maintain your market share you will sell 30% fewer units in 2009 than you did in 2007. It is that simple. Add to that lower average unit selling price and your equipment revenue for equal market share is off more than 30%. Those units are never coming back…..they are actually going lower.
The industry has been talking about it for years but if you are not focused on clicks over placements you are chasing a quickly declining revenue stream. The answer—managed print services.
Done correctly MPS is a totally different business than you are in today. It is a solution that is focused to growing your aftermarket—it is not focused on equipment. So whether you sell Canon, Ricoh, Konica Minolta, Sharp, HP or one of the many other brands is irrelevant. You will sell equipment into your MPS agreements—and brands do have value, as any first year marketing student will tell you—but providing a consultative outsourced approach is what companies are buying with MPS.
So take the time to put together a solid business plan that has your company transitioning to clicks over equipment revenue. Transitioning is the key as you don’t want to throw out the baby with the bath water. The number you need to talk about day and night is your recurring revenue stream. With focus you can easily grow that revenue 30% or more year on year. If you want to find the silver bullet for selling more copiers I wish you luck. If you want to continue to lead a growth company that generates significant profits forget the bullet and hunker down with your senior team to put together a plan that gets you growing.
If only it were that easy. Let’s start with the most obvious, although constantly over looked fact that it is not the 80’s anymore. That means that copiers are not a growth technology any longer. It means that the product extensions that allowed us to continually move upstream and replace other products is almost gone (HP, Xerox, and some other players are going full bore after displacing all printing presses with sheet fed and cut sheet high speed “digital presses” as one of the last product extensions left to conquer). Our color devices have brought outsourced work back in house and replaced presses as has our segment six production devices. B2C went main stream and penetration has stalled in the 30% range. Fax machines have gone the way of the typewriter. Copier (and printer) placements are down substantially over the last two years and are projected to continue to decrease, albeit at a slower pace.
The 80’s brought us Bill Gates (and Paul Allen but he is almost forgotten) and Microsoft, Steve Jobs and Apple, and IBM’s invention of the PC. Since then Larry and Sergey founded Google, who can even remember those two guys from Yahoo and Al Gore invented the Internet! Copiers are not “high tech,” or more appropriately, “sexy” devices to sell. Your fraternity or sorority buddies might be envious of your job at Google, Facebook, or Genentech, but selling copiers won’t elicit that same feeling.
It is a great industry with solid profits and recurring revenues, and sales professionals can still make a good living, but we have to face reality and understand that people aren’t standing in line to apply for jobs in our industry. For those of you who weren’t in the business in the 80’s I can recall when a Sunday ad in the paper (Do they still exist?) resulted in a lobby packed with applicants on Monday. The only chance you had to get the job, which was straight commission (draw) was to show up Monday…..with a wagon or van close behind.
What does all this mean? It is tougher to grow in a declining market than in an increasing market and your potential employees, and customers for that matter, have a lot more information available to make a decision. So how do you thrive in this new environment? Get real about putting together a solid business plan and stop wasting your time looking for the silver bullet. Maybe you don’t have the best website on earth, maybe your reps can set more appointments, maybe you do need some basic sales training…..anything is possible. But I’d bet that your rep’s telephone and sales skills aren’t any worse than they were 20 years ago and you grew then.
The aforementioned internet provides job seekers with lots of information. Want to know what salary or commissions to expect for your education and experience? Go to salary.com or one of their competitors. Want to know what a company pays the specific job you are interested in? Go to glassdoor.com or one of the thousands of blog sites available. Sales professionals are fungible—they can take a job with you selling copiers, they can sell medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, software, or ads on Google. The common thread of those last four is that they pay salaries. Now if you are ambitious you will take the opportunity with an “unlimited” variable compensation component over one with fixed bonuses. But will you take the opportunity of unlimited compensation—with no foundation (salary) over one with a solid base? Not if you could get the latter; for those not paying a salary that is known as adverse selection. You only get a pool of candidates that cannot get the jobs that pay a salary. Wonder why your turnover is 100% and your productivity is low?
As for growth, it isn’t in the copier space. Just in case you don’t believe me take a look at unit placements in any InfoTrends, IDC, or Gartner research. Placements, in the 1,300,000 area in 2007, have dropped to 900,000 or so in 2009. What does that mean? If you maintain your market share you will sell 30% fewer units in 2009 than you did in 2007. It is that simple. Add to that lower average unit selling price and your equipment revenue for equal market share is off more than 30%. Those units are never coming back…..they are actually going lower.
The industry has been talking about it for years but if you are not focused on clicks over placements you are chasing a quickly declining revenue stream. The answer—managed print services.
Done correctly MPS is a totally different business than you are in today. It is a solution that is focused to growing your aftermarket—it is not focused on equipment. So whether you sell Canon, Ricoh, Konica Minolta, Sharp, HP or one of the many other brands is irrelevant. You will sell equipment into your MPS agreements—and brands do have value, as any first year marketing student will tell you—but providing a consultative outsourced approach is what companies are buying with MPS.
So take the time to put together a solid business plan that has your company transitioning to clicks over equipment revenue. Transitioning is the key as you don’t want to throw out the baby with the bath water. The number you need to talk about day and night is your recurring revenue stream. With focus you can easily grow that revenue 30% or more year on year. If you want to find the silver bullet for selling more copiers I wish you luck. If you want to continue to lead a growth company that generates significant profits forget the bullet and hunker down with your senior team to put together a plan that gets you growing.
Saturday, October 31, 2009
More details on the new alliance between Canon and Hewlett Packard
- HP will begin advertising Canon copiers on its website on 11/1/09
- HP will resell imageRUNNER, imageRUNNER ADVANCE, and imageRUNNER ADVANCE PRO series
- Speed range from 23ppm to 105ppm devices
- According to Larry Trevarthen, HP’s Worldwide Director of Market Development, HP also has access to the imagePRESS production print products
- All the devices will initially carry the Canon name
- The products will be identical to what Canon dealers sell, including supplies
- Service will be provided by a Canon factory direct branch primarily. Only if there is no Canon branch in the area, will the service contract be offered to a Canon dealer.
- Canon currently has 60 factory branch locations, but will expand to 90 locations within 2 years
- HP will support Canon copiers with its Web JetAdmin utility
- HP will also modify its Universal Print Driver to support Canon copiers
- Starting in early 2010, HP will begin to develop its own print controllers for the Canon copiers
- HP will resell imageRUNNER, imageRUNNER ADVANCE, and imageRUNNER ADVANCE PRO series
- Speed range from 23ppm to 105ppm devices
- According to Larry Trevarthen, HP’s Worldwide Director of Market Development, HP also has access to the imagePRESS production print products
- All the devices will initially carry the Canon name
- The products will be identical to what Canon dealers sell, including supplies
- Service will be provided by a Canon factory direct branch primarily. Only if there is no Canon branch in the area, will the service contract be offered to a Canon dealer.
- Canon currently has 60 factory branch locations, but will expand to 90 locations within 2 years
- HP will support Canon copiers with its Web JetAdmin utility
- HP will also modify its Universal Print Driver to support Canon copiers
- Starting in early 2010, HP will begin to develop its own print controllers for the Canon copiers
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Rain On Me
IKON’s warehouse in Orange County, Florida, had its roof ripped off and trailers upended during a severe storm last week. 16,792 copiers were exposed to rain.
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