Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Where’s the Silver Bullet

I talk to many business owners that are looking for the cure to their ailment—and they would prefer something that cures them quickly. What is the ailment? Lower revenue and operating income. Some want to recreate the good old days of growth and can’t understand why that would be so difficult. Heck, in the 80’s we just worked hard and revenues increased: Why can’t we do that now? Are the new Generation X, Y, or Z kids simply lazy? My experienced reps just can’t seem to get the appointments they were once able to achieve. They’re all spoiled—we need to put them back on draw against commission and make the hungry!

If only it were that easy. Let’s start with the most obvious, although constantly over looked fact that it is not the 80’s anymore. That means that copiers are not a growth technology any longer. It means that the product extensions that allowed us to continually move upstream and replace other products is almost gone (HP, Xerox, and some other players are going full bore after displacing all printing presses with sheet fed and cut sheet high speed “digital presses” as one of the last product extensions left to conquer). Our color devices have brought outsourced work back in house and replaced presses as has our segment six production devices. B2C went main stream and penetration has stalled in the 30% range. Fax machines have gone the way of the typewriter. Copier (and printer) placements are down substantially over the last two years and are projected to continue to decrease, albeit at a slower pace.

The 80’s brought us Bill Gates (and Paul Allen but he is almost forgotten) and Microsoft, Steve Jobs and Apple, and IBM’s invention of the PC. Since then Larry and Sergey founded Google, who can even remember those two guys from Yahoo and Al Gore invented the Internet! Copiers are not “high tech,” or more appropriately, “sexy” devices to sell. Your fraternity or sorority buddies might be envious of your job at Google, Facebook, or Genentech, but selling copiers won’t elicit that same feeling.

It is a great industry with solid profits and recurring revenues, and sales professionals can still make a good living, but we have to face reality and understand that people aren’t standing in line to apply for jobs in our industry. For those of you who weren’t in the business in the 80’s I can recall when a Sunday ad in the paper (Do they still exist?) resulted in a lobby packed with applicants on Monday. The only chance you had to get the job, which was straight commission (draw) was to show up Monday…..with a wagon or van close behind.

What does all this mean? It is tougher to grow in a declining market than in an increasing market and your potential employees, and customers for that matter, have a lot more information available to make a decision. So how do you thrive in this new environment? Get real about putting together a solid business plan and stop wasting your time looking for the silver bullet. Maybe you don’t have the best website on earth, maybe your reps can set more appointments, maybe you do need some basic sales training…..anything is possible. But I’d bet that your rep’s telephone and sales skills aren’t any worse than they were 20 years ago and you grew then.

The aforementioned internet provides job seekers with lots of information. Want to know what salary or commissions to expect for your education and experience? Go to salary.com or one of their competitors. Want to know what a company pays the specific job you are interested in? Go to glassdoor.com or one of the thousands of blog sites available. Sales professionals are fungible—they can take a job with you selling copiers, they can sell medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, software, or ads on Google. The common thread of those last four is that they pay salaries. Now if you are ambitious you will take the opportunity with an “unlimited” variable compensation component over one with fixed bonuses. But will you take the opportunity of unlimited compensation—with no foundation (salary) over one with a solid base? Not if you could get the latter; for those not paying a salary that is known as adverse selection. You only get a pool of candidates that cannot get the jobs that pay a salary. Wonder why your turnover is 100% and your productivity is low?

As for growth, it isn’t in the copier space. Just in case you don’t believe me take a look at unit placements in any InfoTrends, IDC, or Gartner research. Placements, in the 1,300,000 area in 2007, have dropped to 900,000 or so in 2009. What does that mean? If you maintain your market share you will sell 30% fewer units in 2009 than you did in 2007. It is that simple. Add to that lower average unit selling price and your equipment revenue for equal market share is off more than 30%. Those units are never coming back…..they are actually going lower.
The industry has been talking about it for years but if you are not focused on clicks over placements you are chasing a quickly declining revenue stream. The answer—managed print services.

Done correctly MPS is a totally different business than you are in today. It is a solution that is focused to growing your aftermarket—it is not focused on equipment. So whether you sell Canon, Ricoh, Konica Minolta, Sharp, HP or one of the many other brands is irrelevant. You will sell equipment into your MPS agreements—and brands do have value, as any first year marketing student will tell you—but providing a consultative outsourced approach is what companies are buying with MPS.

So take the time to put together a solid business plan that has your company transitioning to clicks over equipment revenue. Transitioning is the key as you don’t want to throw out the baby with the bath water. The number you need to talk about day and night is your recurring revenue stream. With focus you can easily grow that revenue 30% or more year on year. If you want to find the silver bullet for selling more copiers I wish you luck. If you want to continue to lead a growth company that generates significant profits forget the bullet and hunker down with your senior team to put together a plan that gets you growing.