The Obituary is Written: Is the Patient Dead?

“Long before digital tools such as listservs, e-mail blasts, and even Facebook enabled us to easily broadcast messages, photocopiers were the most efficient way to distribute information to groups of all sizes. If the boss needed to discuss a new company policy, workers got memos in their (physical) in-boxes or slipped under their office doors. Community newsletters, fliers for parties, and the oft-maligned Christmas letters in holiday cards were all made possible by the automated copying machine, which made its commercial debut 50 years ago.

‘It was democratizing technology,’ says Stephen P. Hoover, vice president of global software solutions for Xerox.”

Is it me or does this read like an obituary? It is from an article in the February 8, 2010 Fortune Magazine titled Paper Chase, celebrating the copier’s 50th birthday this year. Note the phrase I highlighted, which I think we sometimes forget: Copiers were used to distribute information. Is that the functionality you think of today when you think copier?

Many in the industry don’t want to talk about it but the copier is dying. Unit sales are dropping and are forecasted to continue their decline. More disturbing is that prints produced on mono A3 devices (devices with 11X17 platens) is forecasted to drop by more than 50% by 2013. Those clicks are your profits.

There is tremendous opportunity in all of this change, but it will not come naturally. If you plan and use some of the cash you are generating in your copier business to move into the services business you can generate more revenue and earn more profit than ever. You will also be able to make acquisitions of smaller competitors on the cheap—nobody is paying 5X adjusted EBITDA today.

I am instructing a seminar at ITEX 2010 titled “The Roadmap to Repositions Your Business Model,” at 11:00 AM Wednesday. I encourage you to attend. At the same time Mike Woodard, service consultant, will be instructing a service module on “….Managing The Base to Control Service Cost,” which is perfect for your service leadership. If you want more information contact Marc Theaman at Theaman@strategydevelopment.org